Drought Outlook for the United States
In the February 2018 Climate Prediction Center update, a transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is predicted most likely to occur in the Northern Hemisphere during the spring (~55 percent chance of ENSO-neutral during the March-May season). La Niña is still expected to continue to affect temperature and precipitation during the next few months. The current outlook still generally favors above-average temperatures and below-median precipitation across the southern tier of the United States, and below-average temperatures and above-median precipitation across the northern tier. To read more, click here.
In the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering February through May, drought conditions are expected to persist, particularly in the southwestern portion of the country. California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas are predicted to have large areas completely covered by either persisting or developing drought conditions. With a few exceptions, the rest of the country’s drought conditions are expected to improve or be removed entirely. To view the last NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on La Niña, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data