Drought Outlook for the United States
In the June 2018 Climate Prediction Center update, it was determined that ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere summer 2018, with the chance for El Nino increasing to 50% during fall and ~65% during winter 2018-19. These forecasts are supported by the ongoing build-up of heat within the tropical Pacific Ocean. Read more on the Climate Prediction Center website.
In the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering June through September, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in the far western portion of the country as well as in Texas, Oklahoma and some other isolated areas throughout the northern states. Additionally, drought conditions are expected to develop in both Texas and some of the northeastern states. It is projected that the rest of the area previously under drought will either improve or drought conditions in the area will be alleviated entirely. View the last NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map here.
The links below will direct you to information on La Niña, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data