Drought Outlook for the United States
In the April 2018 Climate Prediction Center update, a transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is predicted to likely (greater than 50% chance) occur by May, with neutral conditions likely to continue through summer of 2018. Due to the lower prediction skills of the forecasts made during this time of year, predictions beyond summer of 2018 are highly uncertain. However, overall, the ocean and atmosphere system suggest the current La Niña pattern is continuing to weaken. To read more, click here.
In the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering April through July, drought conditions are expected to persist overall. There is only a small area in California and Oregon where drought development is predicted to occur. Although drought conditions are expected to persist in the West, there are some improvements expected in the panhandle regions of Oklahoma and Texas and the surrounding area. To view the last NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on La Niña, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data