Drought Outlook for the United States
Overall, oceanic and atmospheric conditions were consistent with a transition to ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation)-neutral. The August 2019 Climate Prediction Center update indicated that El Niño has transitioned to ENSO-neutral, which is most likely to continue through the upcoming 2019-2020 winter in the Northern Hemisphere (50-55% chance). To read more, click here.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering August through November, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in areas of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, North Carolina and South Carolina. Drought development is predicted to likely occur throughout most of South Central Texas. It is projected that the rest of the area previously under drought will either improve or drought conditions in the area will be alleviated entirely. To view the latest NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on El Niño, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data