Drought Outlook for the United States
In the December 2017 Climate Prediction Center update, La Niña conditions are predicted to continue (exceeding ~80 percent chance) through the Northern Hemisphere during winter 2017-18. Therefore, there is currently a La Niña advisory alert, and these conditions are likely to affect temperature and precipitation in the United States. The current outlook generally favors above-average temperatures and below-median precipitation across the southern tier of the United States, and below-average temperatures and above-median precipitation across the northern tier. However, transition back to ENSO-neutral is most likely to occur during the mid-to-late spring. To read more, click here.
In the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering November through February, drought conditions are expected to persist as well as develop in several states across the country. Texas, Louisiana, Georgia and North Carolina are all expected to develop drought conditions in the upcoming months. Only drought conditions in Hawaii, Montana, Missouri, Minnesota, Illinois, Indiana and Iowa are expected to improve. To view the last NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on La Niña, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data