Drought Outlook for the United States
Overall, oceanic and atmospheric conditions remain consistent with El Niño during May. In the June 2019 Climate Prediction Center update, it was determined that El Niño is predicted to persist through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2019 (66% chance), with lower odds of continuing through the fall and winter (50-55% chance). To read more, click here.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering June through September, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in areas of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. Drought development is predicted to likely occur in portions of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Minnesota, Texas, and Puerto Rico. It is projected that the rest of the area previously under drought will either improve or drought conditions in the area will be alleviated entirely. To view the latest NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on El Niño, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data