Drought Outlook for the United States
Overall, oceanic and atmospheric conditions were consistent with ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation)-neutral. The October 2019 Climate Prediction Center update indicated that ENSO-neutral is favored during the fall of 2019 (~85% chance) and expected to continue through the spring of 2020 (55-60% chance) in the Northern Hemisphere. To read more, click here.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering October through January, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, New Mexico, Utah, Arizona, Nevada and southern California. Drought development is predicted to likely occur in northern California. It is projected that the rest of the area previously under drought will either improve or drought conditions in the area will be alleviated entirely. To view the latest NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on El Niño, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data