Drought Outlook for the United States
In the January 2019 Climate Prediction Center update, it was determined that El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring 2019 (~65 percent chance). The late winter and early spring tend to be the most favorable months for coupling, so forecasters still believe weak El Niño conditions will emerge shortly. To read more, click here.
In the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook update covering January through April, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in the western United States including in significant portions of Oregon, Nevada, Utah and California. Drought development is predicted to occur in portions of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. It is projected that the rest of the area previously under drought will either improve or drought conditions in the area will be alleviated entirely. It is projected that the remaining drought conditions in Texas will be removed entirely. To view the last NOAA U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook map, click here.
The links below will direct you to information on La Niña, ENSO, the NOAA seasonal drought outlook, and other forecasts and models.
Additional Information and Data